Financial Markets and the Business Cycle

* A Typical business cycle embraces three individual cycles for interest rates, equities and commodities. All are influenced by the same economic and financial forces , but each responds differently.
* These markets undergo a chronologocal sequence, which repeats in most cycles.
* Some Cycles experience a slowdown in the growth rate and not an actual recession. Even so, the chronological sequence between the markets still appears to operate.
* The lead and lags vary from cycle to cycle and have lottle forecasting value.
* The chronological sequence of peaks and troughs in the various financial markets can be used as a framework for indentigying the position of a specific market within its bull or bear market cycle.
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